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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
N

Jong Utrecht
1 - 4
NEC

Acheffay (11')
Mokono (30'), van der Kust (65')
Mokono (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okita (15'), van Rooij (66'), Elkarouani (81'), Ondaan (82')
Elkarouani (18'), Bukusu (62'), Bruijn (76')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and NEC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.07%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Jong FC UtrechtDrawNEC
32.81%22.34%44.85%
Both teams to score 66.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4%33.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.59%55.42%
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07%20.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34%53.66%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34%44.66%
Score Analysis
    Jong FC Utrecht 32.81%
    NEC 44.85%
    Draw 22.34%
Jong FC UtrechtDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.43%
1-0 @ 5.12%
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 32.81%
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 6.89%
0-0 @ 3.27%
3-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 5.45%
2-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 3.48%
1-4 @ 2.53%
2-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.62%
3-4 @ 1.03%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 44.85%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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