Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.