Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 38.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.99%) and 3-2 (4.64%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.