Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.88%) and 0-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
