Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
