Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Den Bosch in this match.
