SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 30.48% | 23.7% | 45.82% |
| Both teams to score 60.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% | 41.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% | 63.73% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% | 26.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.93% | 61.07% |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% | 18.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.63% | 49.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% 1-0 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 5.24% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.59% Total : 45.82% |
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