Jong AZ
2 - 1
SBV Excelsior

Duin (17', 45+1' pen.)
Berkhout (8')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mar Omarsson (7')
Wieffer (45')
Baas (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	SBV Excelsior
28.63%	21.31%	50.06%

Both teams to score 68.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.18%

30.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.82%

52.17%

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09%

21.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.83%

55.16%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.13%

12.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.75%

39.24%

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 28.63%

SBV Excelsior 50.06%

Draw 21.31%

Jong AZ	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.66% 1-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.38% Total : 28.63%	1-1 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 2.82% 3-3 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 9% 1-3 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 5.78% 2-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 4.05% 1-4 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.29% 3-4 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.06%