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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion
E

Telstar
2 - 5
SBV Excelsior

Dijkstra (10'), Smit (89')
Overtoom (28'), Doornbusch (32'), Liesdek (57')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dallinga (17', 33' pen., 36', 49'), Baas (58')
Horemans (69')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawSBV Excelsior
35.48%24.43%40.09%
Both teams to score 59.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88%43.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48%65.52%
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07%23.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85%58.15%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44%21.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36%54.64%
Score Analysis
    Telstar 35.48%
    SBV Excelsior 40.09%
    Draw 24.43%
TelstarDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.48%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.09%

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