Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
