Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.
