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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
TR

Accrington
2 - 2
Tranmere

Tranmere win 12-11 on penalties
Adedoyin (37'), Astley (39')
Clark (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Hawkes (62'), Astley (90+3' og.)

We say: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere Rovers will head into Tuesday needing a pick-me-up after losing their opening two games of the season. Accrington Stanley, meanwhile, have hit their stride and will be looking to build on Saturday's win over Shrewsbury Town. Looking at the gulf in class between the two sides and their contrasting form, we predict that the hosts will claim the win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%).

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawTranmere Rovers
30.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.91% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44.68% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.88% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28.84% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)64.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.81%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.41%
    Tranmere Rovers 44.68%
    Draw 24.9%
Accrington StanleyDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Charlton
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Wigan
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, July 13 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Huddersfield 4-1 Tranmere
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Oldham
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Tranmere
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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