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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
AS

Tranmere
2 - 1
Accrington

Taylor (13'), Clarke (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bishop (24')
Butcher (64'), Burgess (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tranmere Rovers and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawAccrington Stanley
39.58%26.92%33.51%
Both teams to score 50.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71%54.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32%75.68%
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87%62.13%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51%30.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3%66.7%
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.58%
    Accrington Stanley 33.51%
    Draw 26.91%
Tranmere RoversDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.51%


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