Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.26) 
