Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
