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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Holker Street
AV

Barrow
0 - 6
Aston Villa


Brown (78'), Arthur (81'), Brough (82')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Archer (10', 62', 88'), El Ghazi (24' pen., 45+2'), Guilbert (75')
Nakamba (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Barrow win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawAston Villa
18.7%20.55%60.74%
Both teams to score 57.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28%38.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97%61.03%
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.87%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65%12.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82%38.18%
Score Analysis
    Barrow 18.7%
    Aston Villa 60.75%
    Draw 20.55%
BarrowDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 5.09%
1-0 @ 4.53%
2-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 18.7%
1-1 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 5.32%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.55%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-3 @ 6.91%
0-3 @ 6.44%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.61%
0-4 @ 3.37%
2-4 @ 1.94%
1-5 @ 1.51%
0-5 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 60.75%

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