Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
