Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
43.18%	27.77%	29.05%

Both teams to score 46.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.22%

58.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.7%

79.3%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01%

26.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67%

62.33%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21%

72.79%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 43.18%

Newcastle United 29.05%

Draw 27.77%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.96% Total : 29.05%