Birmingham
0 - 1
Cambridge

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cundy (19')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Aitor Karanka opens up on Birmingham's surprise EFL Cup loss

The Match

Match Report

Cambridge debutant Robbie Cundy's first goal in professional football settled the contest at St Andrew's.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Cambridge United
50.52%	25.64%	23.84%

Both teams to score 48.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84%

54.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43%

75.57%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53%

21.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5%

54.5%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.09%

37.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.32%

74.68%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 50.52%

Cambridge United 23.84%

Draw 25.64%

Birmingham City	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.52% 2-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.89% 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.84%