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BL
Championship | Gameweek 46
Jul 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
DL

Birmingham
1 - 3
Derby

Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
38.74%25.61%35.64%
Both teams to score 55.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47%48.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34%70.65%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36%24.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85%59.15%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49%61.51%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 38.74%
    Derby County 35.64%
    Draw 25.61%
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.64%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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