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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
BL

Cardiff
0 - 2
Brighton


Vaulks (56'), Wintle (73'), Nelson (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moder (9'), Zeqiri (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
30.98%25.7%43.31%
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.02%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.18%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19%56.8%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 30.98%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 43.31%
    Draw 25.7%
Cardiff CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 2%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.31%

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