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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK
Emirates Stadium
BL

Arsenal
2 - 0
Brighton

Pepe (49', 60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
47.98%25.57%26.45%
Both teams to score 51.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07%51.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33%73.67%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35%21.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22%54.78%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58%34.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87%71.13%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 47.98%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 26.45%
    Draw 25.57%
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.45%

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