Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
