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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stamford Bridge
WL

Chelsea
2 - 0
Wolves

Mount (45+1'), Giroud (45+4')
Giroud (45+3'), Azpilicueta (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jota (22'), Neto (45'), Dendoncker (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
48.38%24.92%26.7%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93%49.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86%71.14%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31%52.69%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31%32.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76%69.24%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 48.38%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 26.7%
    Draw 24.91%
ChelseaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.43%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.7%


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