Should Brentford heavily rotate, Colchester will fancy their chances of causing another upset in this competition.
However, the Bees have added to their squad well this summer and should have the firepower to edge past their League Two opponents, especially with Frank likely to have quality options to call upon from the substitutes' bench if required.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
