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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Goodison Park
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Everton
1 - 3
Bournemouth

Kean (41')
Keane (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
King (13' pen.), Solanke (45+1'), Stanislas (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawBournemouth
54.36%24.48%21.16%
Both teams to score 48.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72%52.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02%73.97%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84%19.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19%50.81%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55%39.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86%76.14%
Score Analysis
    Everton 54.34%
    Bournemouth 21.16%
    Draw 24.47%
EvertonDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.34%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.16%


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