SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
60.86% ( -0.76) | 20.28% ( 0.39) | 18.85% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.8% ( -1.3) | 37.2% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% ( -1.42) | 59.4% ( 1.41) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( -0.6) | 11.85% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.87% ( -1.29) | 37.12% ( 1.28) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.41) | 33.11% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% ( -0.45) | 69.71% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.24% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.28% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 18.86% |
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