Mousinho has only lost one of his 11 home league games as Pompey manager, and we think that his side will utilise home advantage to begin the new campaign with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Bristol Rovers
46.79% ( -1.34)	25.55% ( 0.87)	27.66% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92% (

-3.31)

51.08% (

3.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07% (

-2.98)

72.93% (

2.98)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

-1.93)

21.83% (

1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95% (

-3.03)

55.05% (

3.03)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

-1.37)

33% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

-1.55)

69.59% (

1.56)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 46.79%

Bristol Rovers 27.66%

Draw 25.55%

Portsmouth	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.79%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.66%