SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
51.85% ( -0.39) | 23.42% ( 0) | 24.73% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( 0.34) | 44.22% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( 0.33) | 66.6% ( -0.33) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.02) | 17.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( -0.03) | 47.26% ( 0.02) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( 0.5) | 31.7% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( 0.57) | 68.11% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 24.73% |
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