SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
40.04% ( -0.02) | 26.71% ( 0.15) | 33.25% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.63) | 53.51% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( -0.53) | 75.02% ( 0.53) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.3) | 26.21% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -0.4) | 61.31% ( 0.4) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.4) | 30.26% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.48) | 66.43% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.25% |
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