SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Leeds United |
67.32% ( 0.21) | 19.09% ( -0.1) | 13.58% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.77% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( 0.19) | 42.01% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.19) | 64.41% ( -0.19) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( 0.11) | 11.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.57% ( 0.24) | 36.43% ( -0.24) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.04) | 42.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( -0.04) | 78.96% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 67.32% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.58% |
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