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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Elland Road
SL

Leeds
1 - 4
Spurs

Harrison (67')
Struijk (9'), Wober (14'), Cooper (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (2', 69'), Porro (47'), Moura (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Leeds
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-3 Brentford
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawTottenham Hotspur
35.17% (-0.335 -0.34) 23.51% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 41.32% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 63.02% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.323 -0.32)38.72% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97% (-0.341 -0.34)61.03% (0.337 0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.324 -0.32)22.07% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58% (-0.488 -0.49)55.42% (0.484 0.48)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)19.12% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)50.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 35.17%
    Tottenham Hotspur 41.32%
    Draw 23.5%
Leeds UnitedDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.035000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.17%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 41.32%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Leeds
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, May 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-1 Leeds
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Leicester
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-3 Brentford
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-3 Spurs
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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