Tranmere's exceptional defensive streak amid their early-season injury crisis has been nothing short of magnificent, but they will almost certainly come unstuck at the King Power.
Even with a rotated squad, Leicester - who have been Tranmere's chief EFL Cup nemesis since the turn of the millennium - should advance to round three without breaking too much of a sweat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
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