Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
-0.32) 
0.25) 
