SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
50.13% ( 5.01) | 23.57% ( -0.09) | 26.31% ( -4.92) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -3.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% ( -2.7) | 43.49% ( 2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( -2.71) | 65.88% ( 2.72) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( 0.92) | 17.45% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( 1.58) | 47.91% ( -1.57) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -4.75) | 30.05% ( 4.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( -6.11) | 66.18% ( 6.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 1.28)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 1.32)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.88)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.43)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.53)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.6)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.82) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.6)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.76)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.57)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.49)Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.31% |
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