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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
30.04% ( -0.27) | 24.21% ( -0.07) | 45.74% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( 0.17) | 43.92% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( 0.16) | 66.31% ( -0.17) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -0.09) | 27.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( -0.12) | 63.13% ( 0.11) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( 0.2) | 19.36% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.85% ( 0.34) | 51.14% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.74% |
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