Luton have already demonstrated in their opening two league games that they are a tough team to beat, and we think that they will use their extra quality to brush aside their League Two opponents on Tuesday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
0) 
-0) 
