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Thursday, March 28
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League Two | Gameweek 45
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
NC

Port Vale
1 - 2
Newport

Garrity (51')
Martin (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haynes (3'), Azaz (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Newport County

Although Port Vale have lost their last two matches, we think that the possibility of moving back into the top three will drive them to a narrow victory over a Newport side who have won just one of their last seven games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawNewport County
42.82%27.15%30.02%
Both teams to score 48.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83%56.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77%77.23%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45%70.55%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 42.82%
    Newport County 30.02%
    Draw 27.14%
Port ValeDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Port Vale
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Oldham
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Colchester
Friday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Newport
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Crawley
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Newport
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Newport
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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