Newport returned to winning ways last weekend, and we think that they will round off the season with consecutive victories when they come up against a Rochdale side who are enduring a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Rochdale
51.8%	23.83%	24.37%

Both teams to score 54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.64%

46.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.36%

68.64%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11%

17.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.31%

48.68%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85%

33.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25%

69.75%

Score Analysis

Newport County 51.79%

Rochdale 24.37%

Draw 23.83%

Newport County	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.79%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.37%