Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
