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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
CP

QPR
1 - 2
Crystal Palace

Field (53')
Varane (27'), Ashby (58'), Smyth (76'), Field (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nketiah (16'), Eze (64')
Kamada (29'), Nketiah (56'), Henderson (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 QPR
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-3 Crystal Palace

The hosts may be on a positive run of form while the visitors have been struggling of late, but Crystal Palace boast a much stronger squad and should comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawCrystal Palace
41.34% (-0.434 -0.43) 25.18% (-0.146 -0.15) 33.47% (0.577 0.58)
Both teams to score 56.56% (0.674 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (0.796 0.8)46.96% (-0.798 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (0.738 0.74)69.21% (-0.73899999999999 -0.74)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.133 0.13)22.62% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.2 0.2)56.24% (-0.201 -0.2)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.745 0.75)26.91% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.968 0.97)62.23% (-0.968 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.34%
    Crystal Palace 33.48%
    Draw 25.17%
Queens Park RangersDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.34%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 QPR
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 QPR
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 QPR
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-0 Norwich
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 West Ham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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