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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
QL

Cambridge
1 - 2
QPR

Digby (57')
Brophy (9'), Kaikai (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Frey (13'), Smyth (36')
Andersen (45+1'), Bennie (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: QPR 1-3 West Brom
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

With fewer changes potentially being made to each team, QPR should probably come through this contest with a win. However, we expect the home team to push them all the way in a game which could feature goals during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
24.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 48.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)59.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)79.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)40.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (0.021999999999998 0.02)76.78% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.5%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 24.67%
    Queens Park Rangers 48.01%
    Draw 27.31%
Cambridge UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.67%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 13.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 48.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Colchester 6-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 West Brom
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-3 Cambridge
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Braintree 0-3 Cambridge
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Maritimo 2-0 Cambridge
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: QPR 1-3 West Brom
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Brighton
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reading 1-0 QPR
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Coventry 1-2 QPR
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship


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