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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
LL

Crystal Palace
2 - 2
Leicester

Mateta (47', 90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardy (21'), Mavididi (46')
Ndidi (52'), Ayew (79'), Coady (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawLeicester City
38.45% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 35.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (0.025999999999996 0.03)61.04% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 38.45%
    Leicester City 35.99%
    Draw 25.55%
Crystal PalaceDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 35.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-0 Norwich
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 West Ham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Spurs
Monday, August 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Leicester
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Augsburg
Saturday, August 3 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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