SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
35.8% ( 0.23) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 38.09% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( 0.1) | 50.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.09) | 72.56% ( -0.09) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( 0.19) | 27.28% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.28% ( 0.25) | 62.71% ( -0.25) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.07) | 25.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( -0.09) | 60.98% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 35.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.09% |
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