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LT
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QL

Luton
1 - 2
QPR

Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Luton will welcome the opportunity to return back to Kenilworth Road given their recent schedule and we feel that it could prove pivotal to the end result. QPR will pose a threat against the Hatters, yet the home side could come through with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
35.8% (0.233 0.23) 26.1% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.09% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (0.104 0.1)50.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (0.091999999999999 0.09)72.56% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.188 0.19)27.28% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.246 0.25)62.71% (-0.25 -0.25)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)25.97% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)60.98% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.8%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.09%
    Draw 26.1%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Luton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Luton
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Luton
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 QPR
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 QPR
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-3 West Brom
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Brighton
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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