SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Millwall | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Barrow | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Stevenage |
28.94% ( -0.01) | 25.73% ( -0) | 45.33% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0) | 51.07% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( -0) | 72.92% ( 0) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( -0) | 32.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.51% ( -0.01) | 68.49% ( 0) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( 0) | 22.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0) | 56.04% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.33% |
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