Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Swansea City
30.42%	26.06%	43.51%

Both teams to score 52.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.26%

51.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.49%

73.51%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71%

31.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35%

67.65%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36%

23.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27%

57.73%

Score Analysis

Reading 30.42%

Swansea City 43.51%

Draw 26.05%

Reading	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.51%