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RL
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Madejski Stadium
SL

Reading
0 - 3
Swansea


Camara (34'), Stickland (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latibeaudiere (16'), Cabango (60'), Piroe (83')
Naughton (32'), Williams (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawSwansea City
30.42%26.06%43.51%
Both teams to score 52.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26%51.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49%73.51%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71%31.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35%67.65%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36%23.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27%57.73%
Score Analysis
    Reading 30.42%
    Swansea City 43.51%
    Draw 26.05%
ReadingDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.51%

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