Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 28.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Reading
42.46%	29.35%	28.19%

Both teams to score 42.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.71%

64.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.61%

83.39%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96%

30.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83%

66.16%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24%

39.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57%

76.43%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 42.46%

Reading 28.18%

Draw 29.34%

Stoke City	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.97% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 42.46%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.94% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.34%	0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.18%