Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Reading |
42.46% | 29.35% | 28.19% |
Both teams to score 42.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.71% | 64.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.61% | 83.39% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% | 30.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% | 66.16% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.24% | 39.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.57% | 76.43% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.97% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.94% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.18% |
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