Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
