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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bramall Lane
CU

Sheff Utd
1 - 0
Carlisle

Brewster (24')
Jebbison (89'), Norrington-Davies (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Armer (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.72%27.81%43.47%
Both teams to score 46.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.95%59.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49%79.51%
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57%36.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79%73.21%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.29%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 28.72%
    Carlisle United 43.47%
    Draw 27.81%
Sheffield UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.72%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.87%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 8.44%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.47%

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