Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.