Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.