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Spurs logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
WH
West Ham logo

Spurs
2 - 1
West Ham

Bergwijn (29'), Moura (34')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bowen (32')
Bowen (37')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 West Ham United (after extra time)

This fixture has rarely disappointed in recent years, and under the lights at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the final game before Christmas, there is sure to be a great atmosphere. It is a difficult one to call with West Ham having suffered a blip in form but also having had a week's rest, whereas Tottenham were involved in a breathless and bruising clash with Liverpool just three days before this one. It could go beyond the 90 minutes in North London and it would not be a huge surprise to see it go either way, but we are just siding with Tottenham for this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawWest Ham United
45.6%24.08%30.32%
Both teams to score 59.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.83%43.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.43%65.56%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88%19.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26%50.74%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59%62.41%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 45.6%
    West Ham United 30.32%
    Draw 24.07%
Tottenham HotspurDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.32%

Read more!
Read more!


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