We said: West Ham United 1-1 Chelsea
There has not been a draw between these two teams since September 2018, but we are struggling to separate them in this contest. A point would be a better result for West Ham than it would be for Chelsea, and we believe that the Hammers have enough about them to hold the league leaders to a score draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
